Figure 2-9: CO2 Emissions in Global Futures Scenarios (narrative scenarios). A
cronyms: OCF, the “Our Common Future” scenario from Duchin et al., 1994; GS, the “Global
Shift”; ER, the “European Renaissance”; GC, the “Global Crisis”; and BG the “Balanced
Growth” scenarios from the Central Planning Bureau of the Netherlands (CPB, 1992); A1, A2,
A3, B, C1 and C2, scenarios from Nakicenovic et al., 1998; CW-R, “Conventional Worlds –
Reference”; and CW-PR, “Conventional Worlds – Policy Reform” from Gallopin et al., 1997 and
Raskin et al., 1998. Note that this figure shows emission projections from a subset of the
Global Futures Scenarios which discuss emissions, and a slightly higher proportion of
scenarios in this larger group foresee declining emissions (13 of 35 scenarios, compared to
4 of 14 scenarios shown in the figure).
