Climate Change 2001: Working Group III: Mitigation

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2. Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Scenarios and Implications

Contents

Executive Summary

2.1 Introduction: Summary of the Second Assessment Report and Progress since this Report

2.2 Scenarios

2.2.1 Introduction to Scenarios
2.2.2 Mitigation and Stabilization Scenarios
2.2.3 Scenarios and “Development, Equity, and Sustainability

2.3 Greenhouse Gas Emissions: General Mitigation Scenario

2.3.1 Overview of General Mitigation Scenarios
2.3.2 Quantitative Characteristics of Mitigation Scenario

2.3.2.1 Characteristics of Baseline Scenarios
2.3.2.2 Characteristics of Stabilization Scenarios

2.3.3 Summary of General Mitigation Scenario Review

2.4 Global Futures Scenarios

2.4.1 The Role of Global Futures Scenarios
2.4.2 Global Futures Scenario Database
2.4.3 Global Futures Scenarios: Range of Possible Futures
2.4.4 Global Futures Scenarios, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and Sustainable Development
2.4.5 Conclusions

2.5 Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) and Post-SRES Mitigation Scenarios

2.5.1 Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: Summary and Differences from TAR

2.5.1.1 IPCC Emissions Scenarios and the SRES Process
2.5.1.2 SRES Approach to Scenario Development
2.5.1.3 A Short Description of the SRES Scenarios
2.5.1.4 Emissions and Other Results of the SRES Scenarios

2.5.2 Review of Post-SRES Mitigation Scenarios

2.5.2.1 Background and Outline of Post-SRES Analysis
2.5.2.2 Storylines of Post-SRES Mitigation Scenarios
2.5.2.3 Comparison of Quantified Stabilization Scenarios
2.5.2.4 Comparison of Technology and/or Policy Measures and Assessment of Robustness
2.5.2.5 Summary of Post-SRES Scenario Review

2.6 Recommendations for Future Research

References

Appendix

Co-ordinating Lead Authors:
TSUNEYUKI MORITA (JAPAN), JOHN ROBINSON (CANADA)

Lead Authors:
Anthony Adegbulugbe (Nigeria), Joseph Alcamo (Germany), Deborah Herbert (Canada), Emilio Lebre La Rovere (Brazil), NebojŠsa Nakicenovic (Austria), Hugh Pitcher (USA), Paul Raskin (USA), Keywan Riahi (Iran), Alexei Sankovski (USA), Vassili Sokolov (Russian Federation), Bert de Vries (Netherlands), Dadi Zhou (China)

Contributing Authors:
Kejun Jiang (China), Ton Manders (Netherlands), Yuzuru Matsuoka (Japan), Shunsuke Mori (Japan), Ashish Rana (India), R. Alexander Roehrl (Austria), Knut Einar Rosendahl (Norway), Kenji Yamaji (Japan)

Review Editors:
Michael Chadwick (UK), Jyoti Parikh (India)