Figure 23: Analysis of inter-model
consistency in regional precipitation change. Regions are classified as showing
either agreement on increase with an average change of greater than 20% (‘Large
increase’), agreement on increase with an average change between 5 and 20%
(‘Small increase’), agreement on a change between –5 and +5% or
agreement with an average change between –5 and 5% (‘No change’),
agreement on decrease with an average change between –5 and -20% (‘Small
decrease’), agreement on decrease with an average change of less than -20%
(‘Large decrease’), or disagreement (‘Inconsistent sign’).
A consistent result from at least seven of the nine models is deemed necessary
for agreement. [Based on Chapter 10, Box
1, Figure 2]
